WS Model-Risk Workbench ANALYST · MODEL-RISK

causal counterfactual · brain calibration (ECE/MCE/Brier) · OOD detection · doctrine corpus RAG

DOMAIN

Engineering twin — KOKON's own self-monitoring (issues · people · repos). Switch to Banking for client diagnostics from embedded Studio fixtures.

Model-Risk Workbench

Digital Twin · Counterfactual · Knowledge · Brain Calibration · OOD

— calculating…

kernel — twin entities 0 corpus 0 brains tracked 0

Step 1 · Twin state —

Source repository (local checkout)

Repository identifier

Since (UTC date · blank = last 30 days)

Snapshot at (UTC date · blank = now)

Step 2 · Causal counterfactual P1 · GOVERNOR-REVIEWED —

Assumes: Pearl do-calculus identifiability on the engineering twin DAG · INFERRED edges treated as INTERVENED at factor magnitude · Phase 528 byte-determinism preserved. The result is a model claim about an alternate world, not an observation — see Phase 71 Governor classification before externalising.

Intervention type

Entity id / target

Factor / N / Levels (when applicable)

posterior UQ

Step 3 · Knowledge corpus —

Query

Top-K

Step 4 · Brain calibration —

Brain	Res	Cor	Acc%	95% CI	Weight	Status

Step 5 · Backtest diagnostics —

Reliability — ECE / MCE / Brier cold-start = 0.0000 (means NO DATA, not perfect calibration)

bins

Out-of-Distribution detector (TwinState z-scores)

Feature	Value	Mean	Std	z-score	Flag